Horizon scanning

What to look out for: 

  • Major SFO trials in 2026: Several high-profile SFO prosecutions are scheduled for 2026. The fraud trial of former employees of the collapsed bakery chain Patisserie Valerie is listed for three-months commencing on 2 March 2026. Later in the year, the trial of senior executives in the Petrofac bribery case is due to begin on 5 October 2026.
  • Independent Review of Disclosure and Fraud Offences (Jonathan Fisher KC): The final report and the government’s recommendations are expected shortly. In an interim update published on 26 January, Fisher KC identified several priority areas likely to feature in the final report, including enhanced data sharing, stronger upstream fraud prevention, wider use of modern technology across the system, and enhanced international cooperation by the UK.
  • OFSI enforcement reforms: OFSI’s response to its 2025 consultation on strengthening its enforcement framework is expected later this year. The consultation proposed a number of significant changes, including:

    • publication of a new case assessment matrix, together with expanded guidance on enforcement decision-making;
    • the introduction of a settlement scheme for monetary penalty cases;
    • a streamlined enforcement process for information, reporting and licensing breaches, supported by standalone guidance; and
    • increases to the statutory maximum penalties for financial sanctions breaches.

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